Who bet on "Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-09?" — Polymarket whale activity

1 whale wallet moved $212K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-09, across 3 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 95¢. The market last traded Yes at 99.9¢.

near-certain entry·2026-09-07 → 2026-09-09·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$212K
whale volume
1
whale wallets
3
fills ≥ $10K
100%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Yes

1 wallet bought at an average of 95¢

$212K
100% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-09-09

how to read this

This is not a directional bet. 1 wallet put $212K into Yes at around 95¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.

It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 100% of the buy flow ($212K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.

The market has since converged — Yes last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-09-09 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (3)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-09-090xccd8…f4deBUYYes$190K95¢
2026-09-070xccd8…f4deBUYYes$11K95¢
2026-09-090xccd8…f4deBUYYes$10K95¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-09-28 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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