Who bet on "Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" — Polymarket whale activity
1 whale wallet moved $188K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-19, across 12 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 98¢. The market last traded No at 99.9¢.
- $188K
- whale volume
- 1
- whale wallets
- 12
- fills ≥ $10K
- 100%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
1 wallet bought at an average of 98¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-19
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 1 wallet put $188K into No at around 98¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 100% of the buy flow ($92K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-19 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | 0x4b0e…0677 | BUY | No | $19K | 98¢ |
| 2026-07-19 | 0x4b0e…0677 | SELL | No | $19K | 98¢ |
| 2026-07-19 | 0x4b0e…0677 | BUY | No | $19K | 98¢ |
| 2026-07-19 | 0x4b0e…0677 | SELL | No | $19K | 98¢ |
| 2026-07-19 | 0x4b0e…0677 | BUY | No | $18K | 98¢ |
| 2026-07-19 | 0x4b0e…0677 | SELL | No | $18K | 98¢ |
| 2026-07-17 | 0x4b0e…0677 | SELL | No | $15K | 98¢ |
| 2026-07-17 | 0x4b0e…0677 | BUY | No | $15K | 98¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 240 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-21 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.