Who bet on "Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?" — Polymarket whale activity
7 whale wallets moved $171K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-18, across 10 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 94¢. The market last traded Yes at 99.9¢.
- $171K
- whale volume
- 7
- whale wallets
- 10
- fills ≥ $10K
- 25%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Yes
7 wallets bought at an average of 94¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-09-18
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 7 wallets put $171K into Yes at around 94¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The flow is spread across 7 wallets with the largest at 25% ($37K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.
The market has since converged — Yes last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-09-18 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | 0xcc32…92d2 | BUY | Yes | $37K | 94¢ |
| 2026-09-18 | 0x64f2…2ddd | BUY | Yes | $33K | 93¢ |
| 2026-09-16 | 0xdc41…dd7e | BUY | Yes | $21K | 93¢ |
| 2026-09-18 | 0x2cc8…262b | BUY | Yes | $13K | 98¢ |
| 2026-09-18 | 0x1851…7016 | BUY | Yes | $13K | 93¢ |
| 2026-09-18 | 0x55f5…e2a0 | BUY | Yes | $12K | 94¢ |
| 2026-09-16 | 0xdc41…dd7e | BUY | Yes | $12K | 93¢ |
| 2026-09-18 | 0x0e62…17c2 | SELL | Yes | $11K | 99.9¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-09-28 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.