Who's betting on "Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?"? — Polymarket whale activity
1 whale wallet moved $74K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-20, across 2 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 75¢. The market last traded No at 77¢.
- $74K
- whale volume
- 1
- whale wallets
- 2
- fills ≥ $10K
- 100%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
1 wallet bought at an average of 75¢
last traded 77¢ on 2026-07-21
how to read this
One wallet drives this market: 0x1465…7072 accounts for 100% of all whale buy volume ($74K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.
Between those entries and the last print the market moved 2 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.
biggest whale fills (2)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | 0x1465…7072 | BUY | No | $38K | 76¢ |
| 2026-07-20 | 0x1465…7072 | BUY | No | $36K | 74¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 240 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-21 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.