Who bet on "Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?" — Polymarket whale activity
3 whale wallets moved $84K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-18, across 3 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 99.2¢. The market last traded Yes at 99.9¢.
- $84K
- whale volume
- 3
- whale wallets
- 3
- fills ≥ $10K
- 58%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Yes
2 wallets bought at an average of 99.2¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-08-18
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 3 wallets put $84K into Yes at around 99.2¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 58% of the buy flow ($42K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — Yes last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-08-18 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (3)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | 0xfcd0…391d | BUY | Yes | $42K | 99.0¢ |
| 2026-08-18 | 0xbacd…ab35 | BUY | Yes | $30K | 99.4¢ |
| 2026-08-18 | 0x7d22…f0cf | SELL | Yes | $12K | 99¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-31 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.