Who bet on "Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?" — Polymarket whale activity

2 whale wallets moved $90K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-22, across 4 trades of $10,000 or more. 88% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 45¢. The market last traded Yes at 45¢.

one-wallet conviction·2026-08-222026-08-22·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$90K
whale volume
2
whale wallets
4
fills ≥ $10K
88%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Yes

1 wallet bought at an average of 45¢

$79K
88% of buy flow

last traded 45¢ on 2026-08-22

No

1 wallet bought at an average of 56¢

$11K
12% of buy flow

last traded 55¢ on 2026-08-22

how to read this

One wallet drives this market: 0x4d30…a42d accounts for 88% of all whale buy volume ($79K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.

The market has since converged — No last traded at 55¢ on 2026-08-22 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (4)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-08-220x4d30…a42dBUYYes$45K45¢
2026-08-220x4d30…a42dBUYYes$19K45¢
2026-08-220x4d30…a42dBUYYes$15K45¢
2026-08-220x457f…2a64BUYNo$11K56¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-31 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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