Who is betting on "Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?" on Polymarket?

3 wallets traded $10,000 or more on this market between 2026-07-23 and 2026-07-30, for $83K of whale volume across 4 fills. The largest single wallet accounts for 71% of whale buy volume.

Which side are whales on for "Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?"?

100% of whale buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry price of 98¢. This describes positioning that already happened; it is not a prediction of the outcome.

Who bet on "Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?" — Polymarket whale activity

3 whale wallets moved $83K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-30, across 4 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 98¢. The market last traded No at 99.9¢.

near-certain entry·2026-07-23 → 2026-07-30·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000

$83K
whale volume: 3
whale wallets: 4
fills ≥ $10K: 71%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

No

2 wallets bought at an average of 98¢

$58K

100% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-31

how to read this

This is not a directional bet. 3 wallets put $83K into No at around 98¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.

It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 71% of the buy flow ($41K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.

The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-31 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (4)

date	wallet	side	outcome	size	price
2026-07-30	0x0af0…d425	SELL	No	$26K	99.9¢
2026-07-23	0x8b4b…541b	BUY	No	$21K	96¢
2026-07-30	0x8b4b…541b	BUY	No	$20K	99.9¢
2026-07-29	0x06dc…4524	BUY	No	$17K	99.9¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$84K · one-wallet conviction San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals$83K · one-wallet conviction LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$83K · near-certain entry

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-17 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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