Who bet on "Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?" — Polymarket whale activity
4 whale wallets moved $72K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-31, across 4 trades of $10,000 or more. 83% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 95¢. The market last traded No at 99.9¢.
- $72K
- whale volume
- 4
- whale wallets
- 4
- fills ≥ $10K
- 61%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
2 wallets bought at an average of 95¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-31
Yes
1 wallet bought at an average of 84¢
last traded 3¢ on 2026-07-31
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 4 wallets put $72K into No at around 95¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 61% of the buy flow ($37K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-31 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (4)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 0x690b…bd2c | BUY | No | $37K | 97¢ |
| 2026-07-23 | 0x8b4b…541b | BUY | No | $14K | 88¢ |
| 2026-07-29 | 0x714a…ab2f | SELL | Yes | $11K | 80¢ |
| 2026-07-30 | 0xccd8…f4de | BUY | Yes | $10K | 84¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-17 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.