Who bet on "US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic" — Polymarket whale activity

6 whale wallets moved $121K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-31, across 6 trades of $10,000 or more. 54% of their buy volume went to Novak Djokovic, at a volume-weighted entry of 73¢. The market last traded Novak Djokovic at 0.1¢.

contested·2026-08-302026-08-31·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$121K
whale volume
6
whale wallets
6
fills ≥ $10K
34%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Novak Djokovic

3 wallets bought at an average of 73¢

$51K
54% of buy flow

last traded 0.1¢ on 2026-08-31

Mariano Navone

2 wallets bought at an average of 60¢

$44K
46% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-08-31

how to read this

Whale money is genuinely split here. Novak Djokovic took 54% of the buy volume and Mariano Navone took 46%, so large wallets are on both sides of this question. There is no whale consensus to follow.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 73 cents against the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

The market has since converged — Mariano Navone last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-08-31 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (6)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-08-310x1f71…b2e4BUYMariano Navone$32K46¢
2026-08-310x565c…878dSELLMariano Navone$26K87¢
2026-08-310x8546…35b8BUYNovak Djokovic$19K73¢
2026-08-300x2c33…0563BUYNovak Djokovic$16K84¢
2026-08-310x076d…8d4cBUYNovak Djokovic$16K63¢
2026-08-310x996a…e3ccBUYMariano Navone$12K99.9¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-31 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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