Who bet on "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?" — Polymarket whale activity

2 whale wallets moved $54K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-06-29, across 2 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 99.5¢. The market last traded No at 99.8¢.

near-certain entry·2026-06-232026-06-29·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$54K
whale volume
2
whale wallets
2
fills ≥ $10K
100%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

No

1 wallet bought at an average of 99.5¢

$21K
100% of buy flow

last traded 99.8¢ on 2026-06-29

how to read this

This is not a directional bet. 2 wallets put $54K into No at around 99.5¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.

It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 100% of the buy flow ($21K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.

The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.8¢ on 2026-06-29 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (2)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-06-290x4755…4158SELLNo$33K99.8¢
2026-06-230xed10…d2e5BUYNo$21K99.5¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 240 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-21 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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