Who bet on "UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)" — Polymarket whale activity

9 whale wallets moved $445K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-19, across 10 trades of $10,000 or more. 95% of their buy volume went to Dricus Du Plessis, at a volume-weighted entry of 67¢. The market last traded Dricus Du Plessis at 99.9¢.

whale consensus·2026-07-162026-07-19·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$445K
whale volume
9
whale wallets
10
fills ≥ $10K
48%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Dricus Du Plessis

5 wallets bought at an average of 67¢

$378K
95% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-19

Kamaru Usman

1 wallet bought at an average of 31¢

$20K
5% of buy flow

last traded 0.1¢ on 2026-07-19

how to read this

The flow is broad rather than concentrated: 9 whale wallets put 95% of their buy volume on the same side, with the largest single wallet at 48%. Agreement at that width is harder to dismiss as one trader's idea, though it is still agreement about odds, not about the outcome.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 33 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

The market has since converged — Dricus Du Plessis last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-19 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (8)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-07-190x4bff…fc26BUYDricus Du Plessis$155K67¢
2026-07-180xfd22…ad91BUYDricus Du Plessis$132K66¢
2026-07-190x4bff…fc26BUYDricus Du Plessis$36K67¢
2026-07-190x6ac1…1316BUYDricus Du Plessis$24K67¢
2026-07-160xa49b…4c40BUYKamaru Usman$20K31¢
2026-07-180x85bb…9adaBUYDricus Du Plessis$20K67¢
2026-07-190x533c…2658SELLDricus Du Plessis$17K90¢
2026-07-190xb53e…8617SELLDricus Du Plessis$15K99.9¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 47 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-20

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