Who bet on "UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)" — Polymarket whale activity

2 whale wallets moved $234K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-10, across 2 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Max Holloway, at a volume-weighted entry of 67¢. The market last traded Max Holloway at 70¢.

one-wallet conviction·2026-07-092026-07-10·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$234K
whale volume
2
whale wallets
2
fills ≥ $10K
92%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Max Holloway

2 wallets bought at an average of 67¢

$234K
100% of buy flow

last traded 70¢ on 2026-07-11

how to read this

One wallet drives this market: 0xc807…c12b accounts for 92% of all whale buy volume ($214K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 3 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

The market has since converged — Max Holloway last traded at 70¢ on 2026-07-11 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (2)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-07-100xc807…c12bBUYMax Holloway$214K67¢
2026-07-090x1cc1…b8dfBUYMax Holloway$20K66¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 240 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-21 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

Pull this data yourself

Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.