Who bet on "Spread: Eagles (-4.5)" — Polymarket whale activity

2 whale wallets moved $134K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-13, across 2 trades of $10,000 or more. 92% of their buy volume went to Commanders, at a volume-weighted entry of 46¢. The market last traded Commanders at 42¢.

one-wallet conviction·2026-09-13 → 2026-09-13·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$134K
whale volume
2
whale wallets
2
fills ≥ $10K
92%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Commanders

1 wallet bought at an average of 46¢

$123K
92% of buy flow

last traded 42¢ on 2026-09-13

Eagles

1 wallet bought at an average of 54¢

$10K
8% of buy flow

last traded 75¢ on 2026-09-13

how to read this

One wallet drives this market: 0x9243…658e accounts for 92% of all whale buy volume ($123K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 4 cents against the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

The market has since converged — Eagles last traded at 75¢ on 2026-09-13 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (2)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-09-130x9243…658eBUYCommanders$123K46¢
2026-09-130x6754…e3bcBUYEagles$10K54¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-09-28 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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