Who bet on "North Carolina vs. TCU" — Polymarket whale activity

1 whale wallet moved $87K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-29, across 2 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to North Carolina, at a volume-weighted entry of 93¢. The market last traded North Carolina at 99.9¢.

near-certain entry·2026-08-292026-08-29·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$87K
whale volume
1
whale wallets
2
fills ≥ $10K
100%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

North Carolina

1 wallet bought at an average of 93¢

$87K
100% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-08-29

how to read this

This is not a directional bet. 1 wallet put $87K into North Carolina at around 93¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.

It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 100% of the buy flow ($87K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.

The market has since converged — North Carolina last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-08-29 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (2)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-08-290x6db5…e279BUYNorth Carolina$75K94¢
2026-08-290x6db5…e279BUYNorth Carolina$12K84¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-31 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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