Who bet on "National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur" — Polymarket whale activity
5 whale wallets moved $105K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-06, across 8 trades of $10,000 or more. 71% of their buy volume went to Cameron Norrie, at a volume-weighted entry of 96¢. The market last traded Cameron Norrie at 99.9¢.
- $105K
- whale volume
- 5
- whale wallets
- 8
- fills ≥ $10K
- 56%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Cameron Norrie
2 wallets bought at an average of 96¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-08-06
Alex de Minaur
2 wallets bought at an average of 66¢
last traded 0.1¢ on 2026-08-06
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 5 wallets put $105K into Cameron Norrie at around 96¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 56% of the buy flow ($44K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — Cameron Norrie last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-08-06 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | 0x8bfe…2d74 | SELL | Alex de Minaur | $26K | 85¢ |
| 2026-08-06 | 0xf519…906b | BUY | Alex de Minaur | $13K | 86¢ |
| 2026-08-06 | 0x9bb1…4dbe | BUY | Cameron Norrie | $12K | 95¢ |
| 2026-08-06 | 0x204f…5e14 | BUY | Cameron Norrie | $11K | 98¢ |
| 2026-08-06 | 0x204f…5e14 | BUY | Cameron Norrie | $11K | 95¢ |
| 2026-08-06 | 0x204f…5e14 | BUY | Cameron Norrie | $11K | 95¢ |
| 2026-08-06 | 0x204f…5e14 | BUY | Cameron Norrie | $10K | 98¢ |
| 2026-08-06 | 0xdb85…152f | BUY | Alex de Minaur | $10K | 40¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-17 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.