Who bet on "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo" — Polymarket whale activity

4 whale wallets moved $169K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-30, across 6 trades of $10,000 or more. 55% of their buy volume went to Terence Atmane, at a volume-weighted entry of 51¢. The market last traded Terence Atmane at 18¢.

one-wallet conviction·2026-07-302026-07-30·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$169K
whale volume
4
whale wallets
6
fills ≥ $10K
55%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Terence Atmane

1 wallet bought at an average of 51¢

$93K
55% of buy flow

last traded 18¢ on 2026-07-30

Alejandro Tabilo

3 wallets bought at an average of 64¢

$75K
45% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-30

how to read this

One wallet drives this market: 0x4be1…aa70 accounts for 55% of all whale buy volume ($93K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 33 cents against the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

The market has since converged — Alejandro Tabilo last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-30 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (6)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-07-300x4be1…aa70BUYTerence Atmane$52K57¢
2026-07-300x4be1…aa70BUYTerence Atmane$42K45¢
2026-07-300x2c33…0563BUYAlejandro Tabilo$34K43¢
2026-07-300xcf6c…7e66BUYAlejandro Tabilo$17K84¢
2026-07-300x204f…5e14BUYAlejandro Tabilo$14K76¢
2026-07-300xcf6c…7e66BUYAlejandro Tabilo$10K87¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-17 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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