Who bet on "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonova" — Polymarket whale activity

5 whale wallets moved $135K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-31, across 9 trades of $10,000 or more. 85% of their buy volume went to Liudmila Samsonova, at a volume-weighted entry of 43¢. The market last traded Liudmila Samsonova at 1.0¢.

one-wallet conviction·2026-07-312026-07-31·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$135K
whale volume
5
whale wallets
9
fills ≥ $10K
51%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Liudmila Samsonova

3 wallets bought at an average of 43¢

$95K
85% of buy flow

last traded 1.0¢ on 2026-07-31

Diana Shnaider

1 wallet bought at an average of 80¢

$17K
15% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-31

how to read this

One wallet drives this market: 0x7d6d…2654 accounts for 51% of all whale buy volume ($57K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 42 cents against the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

The market has since converged — Diana Shnaider last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-31 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (8)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-07-310x2c33…0563BUYLiudmila Samsonova$24K24¢
2026-07-310x26b4…b8a9SELLDiana Shnaider$24K99.9¢
2026-07-310x6d20…a165BUYDiana Shnaider$17K80¢
2026-07-310x7d6d…2654BUYLiudmila Samsonova$15K50¢
2026-07-310x79ae…9a4aBUYLiudmila Samsonova$14K48¢
2026-07-310x7d6d…2654BUYLiudmila Samsonova$12K49¢
2026-07-310x7d6d…2654BUYLiudmila Samsonova$10K51¢
2026-07-310x7d6d…2654BUYLiudmila Samsonova$10K50¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-17 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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