Who bet on "LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — Polymarket whale activity
10 whale wallets moved $226K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-18, across 11 trades of $10,000 or more. 91% of their buy volume went to T1, at a volume-weighted entry of 93¢. The market last traded T1 at 0.1¢.
- $226K
- whale volume
- 10
- whale wallets
- 11
- fills ≥ $10K
- 37%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
T1
6 wallets bought at an average of 93¢
last traded 0.1¢ on 2026-07-18
Karmine Corp
1 wallet bought at an average of 18¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-18
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 10 wallets put $226K into T1 at around 93¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The flow is spread across 10 wallets with the largest at 37% ($69K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.
The market has since converged — Karmine Corp last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-18 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | 0xeab3…4d7a | BUY | T1 | $69K | 97¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0xd487…053e | BUY | T1 | $30K | 99¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0xcd30…f316 | BUY | T1 | $22K | 74¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0x9854…6bf2 | BUY | Karmine Corp | $17K | 18¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0x2787…e0c4 | SELL | T1 | $17K | 71¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0x695d…0d7c | BUY | T1 | $13K | 95¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0x04b1…d224 | BUY | T1 | $13K | 99.0¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0x04b1…d224 | BUY | T1 | $12K | 92¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 240 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-21 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.