Who bet on "Guadalajara Open Akron, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Nicole Melichar" — Polymarket whale activity

1 whale wallet moved $123K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-12, across 4 trades of $10,000 or more. 50% of their buy volume went to Nicole Melichar, at a volume-weighted entry of 51¢. The market last traded Nicole Melichar at 49¢.

one-wallet conviction·2026-09-12 → 2026-09-12·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$123K
whale volume
1
whale wallets
4
fills ≥ $10K
100%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Nicole Melichar

1 wallet bought at an average of 51¢

$62K
50% of buy flow

last traded 49¢ on 2026-09-13

Varvara Lepchenko

1 wallet bought at an average of 50¢

$61K
50% of buy flow

last traded 51¢ on 2026-09-12

how to read this

One wallet drives this market: 0x2005…75ea accounts for 100% of all whale buy volume ($123K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 2 cents against the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

The market has since converged — Varvara Lepchenko last traded at 51¢ on 2026-09-12 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (4)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-09-120x2005…75eaBUYNicole Melichar$32K51¢
2026-09-120x2005…75eaBUYVarvara Lepchenko$31K50¢
2026-09-120x2005…75eaBUYNicole Melichar$30K51¢
2026-09-120x2005…75eaBUYVarvara Lepchenko$30K50¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-09-28 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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