Who bet on "Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?" — Polymarket whale activity

2 whale wallets moved $51K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-14, across 3 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 90¢. The market last traded No at 89¢.

near-certain entry·2026-07-142026-07-14·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$51K
whale volume
2
whale wallets
3
fills ≥ $10K
71%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

No

2 wallets bought at an average of 90¢

$51K
100% of buy flow

last traded 89¢ on 2026-07-14

how to read this

This is not a directional bet. 2 wallets put $51K into No at around 90¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.

It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 71% of the buy flow ($36K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.

The market has since converged — No last traded at 89¢ on 2026-07-14 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (3)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-07-140x0467…fb2eBUYNo$18K90¢
2026-07-140x0467…fb2eBUYNo$18K90¢
2026-07-140x204f…5e14BUYNo$15K90¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 240 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-21 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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