Who's betting on "Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?"? — Polymarket whale activity

4 whale wallets moved $233K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-12, across 6 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 76¢. The market last traded No at 80¢.

one-wallet conviction·2026-07-192026-08-12·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$233K
whale volume
4
whale wallets
6
fills ≥ $10K
60%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

No

3 wallets bought at an average of 76¢

$222K
100% of buy flow

last traded 80¢ on 2026-08-17

Yes

0 wallets bought nothing here (whale flow was sells only)

$0
0% of buy flow

last traded 19¢ on 2026-08-17

how to read this

One wallet drives this market: 0x1ad3…6749 accounts for 60% of all whale buy volume ($133K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 4 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

biggest whale fills (6)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-08-120x1ad3…6749BUYNo$133K80¢
2026-07-290x5a65…59c7BUYNo$28K72¢
2026-07-310x5a65…59c7BUYNo$24K73¢
2026-07-310x5a65…59c7BUYNo$21K76¢
2026-07-190xabe7…d623BUYNo$16K60¢
2026-08-120xdbc5…9c30SELLYes$11K18¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-17

Pull this data yourself

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