Who bet on "Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo" — Polymarket whale activity

5 whale wallets moved $134K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-17, across 7 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Rafael Jodar, at a volume-weighted entry of 85¢. The market last traded Rafael Jodar at 99.9¢.

whale consensus·2026-08-172026-08-17·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$134K
whale volume
5
whale wallets
7
fills ≥ $10K
33%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Rafael Jodar

5 wallets bought at an average of 85¢

$97K
100% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-08-17

how to read this

The flow is broad rather than concentrated: 5 whale wallets put 100% of their buy volume on the same side, with the largest single wallet at 33%. Agreement at that width is harder to dismiss as one trader's idea, though it is still agreement about odds, not about the outcome.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 15 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

The market has since converged — Rafael Jodar last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-08-17 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (7)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-08-170x8bfe…2d74SELLRafael Jodar$36K99.9¢
2026-08-170x772f…8145BUYRafael Jodar$32K89¢
2026-08-170x8bfe…2d74BUYRafael Jodar$16K88¢
2026-08-170xdb85…152fBUYRafael Jodar$14K69¢
2026-08-170x6f2e…9d0bBUYRafael Jodar$13K99¢
2026-08-170x8bfe…2d74BUYRafael Jodar$11K88¢
2026-08-170xade2…e86dBUYRafael Jodar$11K68¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-31 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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