Who bet on "Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime" — Polymarket whale activity
4 whale wallets moved $112K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-19, across 8 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Felix Auger-Aliassime, at a volume-weighted entry of 95¢. The market last traded Felix Auger-Aliassime at 99.9¢.
- $112K
- whale volume
- 4
- whale wallets
- 8
- fills ≥ $10K
- 38%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Felix Auger-Aliassime
4 wallets bought at an average of 95¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-08-19
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 4 wallets put $112K into Felix Auger-Aliassime at around 95¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The flow is spread across 4 wallets with the largest at 38% ($42K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.
The market has since converged — Felix Auger-Aliassime last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-08-19 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | 0x2037…473d | BUY | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $20K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-08-18 | 0x204f…5e14 | BUY | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $20K | 80¢ |
| 2026-08-19 | 0x44a1…bd21 | BUY | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $15K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-08-19 | 0x8bfe…2d74 | BUY | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $11K | 98¢ |
| 2026-08-19 | 0x8bfe…2d74 | BUY | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $11K | 98¢ |
| 2026-08-19 | 0x204f…5e14 | BUY | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $11K | 98¢ |
| 2026-08-19 | 0x204f…5e14 | BUY | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $11K | 98¢ |
| 2026-08-19 | 0x8bfe…2d74 | BUY | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $11K | 98¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-31 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.