Who's betting on "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET"? — Polymarket whale activity

1 whale wallet moved $88K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-17, across 2 trades of $10,000 or more. 55% of their buy volume went to Down, at a volume-weighted entry of 80¢. The market last traded Down at 51¢.

one-wallet conviction·2026-07-172026-07-17·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$88K
whale volume
1
whale wallets
2
fills ≥ $10K
100%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Down

1 wallet bought at an average of 80¢

$48K
55% of buy flow

last traded 51¢ on 2026-07-17

Up

1 wallet bought at an average of 80¢

$40K
45% of buy flow

last traded 77¢ on 2026-07-17

how to read this

One wallet drives this market: 0x565c…519e accounts for 100% of all whale buy volume ($88K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 29 cents against the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

biggest whale fills (2)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-07-170x565c…519eBUYDown$48K80¢
2026-07-170x565c…519eBUYUp$40K80¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 240 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-21 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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