Who bet on "Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets" — Polymarket whale activity

3 whale wallets moved $104K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-15, across 3 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to New York Mets, at a volume-weighted entry of 56¢. The market last traded New York Mets at 26¢.

one-wallet conviction·2026-09-14 → 2026-09-15·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$104K
whale volume
3
whale wallets
3
fills ≥ $10K
54%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

New York Mets

2 wallets bought at an average of 56¢

$70K
100% of buy flow

last traded 26¢ on 2026-09-15

Baltimore Orioles

0 wallets bought nothing here (whale flow was sells only)

$0
0% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-09-15

how to read this

One wallet drives this market: 0xa710…23c4 accounts for 54% of all whale buy volume ($38K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 30 cents against the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

The market has since converged — Baltimore Orioles last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-09-15 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (3)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-09-140xa710…23c4BUYNew York Mets$38K57¢
2026-09-150x2e6c…0c51SELLBaltimore Orioles$34K99.9¢
2026-09-140x5e94…5ba1BUYNew York Mets$33K54¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-09-28 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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